[ADD ANSWERS] What’s true of the shooting suspect of the two National Guard troops?

Ṁ19k

2026

65%

Has the death penalty sought against him by the prosecution

56%

Accepts a plea deal instead of going to trial

40%

Has been awarded for services to the United States

12%

Was intoxicated at the time of the shooting

93%

Is alive on 12/31/2025

21%

Was motivated by political ideology

93%

Has ties to extremist groups

Had the firearm used in the crime legally

88%

Was acting alone

81%

Has ever been diagnosed with a mental health condition

19%

Has been convicted of a felony

Each market will resolve as information becomes available - not after conviction, unless otherwise specified.

Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "Is white and not hispanic" will resolve based on Census classification standards.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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@1bets can you confirm the criteria for this

bought Ṁ1 NO

He was using a gun that was taken from a dead person.

As an afgani veteran, but asylum refugee without a green card, he had no legal right to possess any firearm, and the gun was still registered to the deceased person.

Maybe the fact that the gun itself was illegal to own without registration could get some attention?

@Houston2025, @creator please resolve "Is white and not hispanic" - YES

@questionyourself will resolve yes per Census classification

opened a Ṁ105 YES at 45% order

dentity vs. Classification USA

Officially: Afghans are classed as “white.”
But personally and socially: many Afghan (or other MENA-origin) individuals do not identify as white.

@onetwelve I am slightly resentful about this result because I would have bet differently if I had known that would be the standard used, but I guess we need to use some standard and I could have asked.

@JohnSmithb9be in USA they use weird measurements for everything

bought Ṁ274 YES

@creator murder charges announced

Guys, the suspect is a person who behaved suspiciously, so they caught him. He wore a beard and spoke with an accent.

The real murderer may still be roaming free - that’s why an additional five hundred guards were sent to D.C., along with police and other agencies.

bought Ṁ42 YES

Military resolves yes "Suspect in National Guard shooting served alongside U.S. troops in Afghanistan, relative says"

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/suspect-national-guard-shooting-served-us-troops-afghanistan-relative-rcna246170

bought Ṁ20 YES

Lakanwal seems to be a Pashtun name, betting "white, not Hispanic"

bought Ṁ100 YES

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/nov/26/washington-national-guard-shooting-suspect
> Lakanwal, 29, is said to have entered the United States in September 2021,
> ...
> Immigration authorities granted Lakanwal asylum earlier this year, according to CNN.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Houston2025 Hegseth is saying they'll deploy 500 additional NG to DC https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-administration-500-more-national-guard-troops-washington-dc-after-shooting-hegseth/

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