New Glenn's furthest milestone in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Plus
27
Ṁ15k2026
0.4%
No successful launch
54%
Successful launch
42%
Successful landing
4%
Reflight of a booster
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
(Rewritten slightly)
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
By when will New Glenn flight 2 launch?
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2025?
How many times will New Glenn launch in 2025?
What's the furthest milestone we'll see with Stoke Space's NOVA in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will a new European launch provider reach orbit in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
60% chance
Will SLS survive 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
49% chance
Will we set a new record for number of people in space by mid 2025?
40% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many orbital launch attempts will we see in 2025 around the world? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)