Will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy Booster in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
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51%
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This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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This market says 50% it first happens in 2025, https://manifold.markets/Multicore/which-of-ars-technicas-starship-tim says 40% it first happens in 1st half 2026, combined that implies <10% chance it hasn't been done by July 2026. Not sure I'm that confident.
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