Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to the first SpaceX Starship to successfully land on the catch arms (chopsticks) of a launch tower. The vehicle must come to rest in one piece on the chopsticks, but any following event, including destruction, will not affect the resolution.
Notes
S37 and S38 are the final remaining Block 2 ships. S39 is the first Block 3 ship.
Newer ships may be added as needed.
1,000
3.00If there is sufficient evidence Starship will never be caught, this will resolve N/A
This is a bit disappointing. I do think Starship will be caught, but if it's not, that's us being wrong, not something that goes against the concept of the market. Never is conceptually included in Other, which is an option available for us to bet on.
I think adding an explicit Never option before it's needed would be much better though, for the sake of resolution simplicity if it were to become needed.
Edit: Didn't realize my repost was going to show up as a comment as well
This is a great market format!