Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Basic
296
Ṁ76k
2028
37%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Other
12%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
Mark Kelly
5%
Kamala Harris
4%
Pete Buttigieg
3%
Josh Shapiro
3%
There won't be a real election because of MAGA fascism
2%
JB Pritzker
2%
Andy Beshear
1.3%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Josh Green

Resolves to whoever is nominated as the Democratic Party's U.S. presidential candidate at the Democratic National Convention in 2028.

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Ṁ1,000
and
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The option "someone else" needs to be N/A as there is already an other option.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Newsom 50%+

bought Ṁ40 NO

I see a few Mark Kelly fans here… maybe you want to bet on him (Or someone else) finishing top 2 in any state?

@MachiNi hail to the queen

You need to add Mark Kelly as an option.

@AlanMurphy I added it, Also Btw if you want to add someone, you can for 25 mana

related:

Related:

@PaperBoy he wasn't born in the US

bought Ṁ100 NO

@zsig oh lol didn’t know that. But that’s a great reason to vote no!

opened a Ṁ250 NO at 10% order

@DylanSlagh My suspicion is that she's not going to run in 2028, because she's going to try and replace Schumer when his term ends that year.

@Marnix Honestly, at this point, I could definitely see her going for president and someone like Lander going for Schumer's seat if he doesn't go for governor in 2026. I'm fairly sure she prefers the national stage to something like NY Governor based on half-remembered past reporting.

Is the distinction between 'Democratic nominee's and 'Democrat nominee's the point of this market? I assume it's recognized that, in the U.S. political system, a "democratic nominee" refers to someone selected through any democratic process (voting by citizens or representatives), while a "Democrat nominee" specifically means the candidate chosen to represent the Democratic Party in an election. It's a subtle but very important distinction. Is this intentional? Or, is this a joke?

What's wrong with the liquidity on this market. Supposedly 1300 in liquidity subsidies but half the options move like 10% on 1 mana

sold Ṁ35 YES

Can't be, he'll be term limited after the next four years.

What's up with the graph of this market?

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