Will China launch a full-scale military invasion of Taiwan in 2024?
Basic
34
Ṁ5020Jan 1
1.2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
35% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2025? (tentative criteria)
10% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
35% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
29% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
50% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
35% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?
21% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
23% chance