Will Nvidia be blocked from selling H20 GPUs to China at the end of May?
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Ṁ2077May 31
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Update 2025-04-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria update:
If Nvidia receives any export licenses to China (even on a case-by-case basis), the market will resolve as No.
If Nvidia does not receive any export licenses to China, the market will resolve as Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ahalekelly If Nvidia does not secure a H20 export license by the end of May, does that count?
@spiderduckpig Oh I just read the most recent article, I didn't realize that they were going to grant licenses on a case by case basis. Yeah sounds good, if they receive any export licenses to China then it resolves No, if not it resolves Yes.
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