Will >= 27.0% of Manifold respondents agree that non-human intelligence has influenced Earth in the January 2025 poll?

Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?

Will Manifold stop using AI to make my questions worse by the end of 2025?

At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

At the beginning of 2025, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

What's the average IQ of active manifold users? (PERMANENT)

At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

At the beginning of 2027, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

At the beginning of 2040, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

At the beginning of 2029, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?