🏖️What will happen in August 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
Basic
31
Ṁ851
Sep 1
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive during the entire month
92%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
92%
at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it
92%
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
90%
dick cheney still alive at end of month
90%
Tumbles is late to pay back a loan https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
80%
trump leaves usa at least once
79%
noam chomsky alive until end of month
69%
web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month
69%
large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
69%
a tesla catches fire as reported by mainstream news
69%
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain
60%
trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times
59%
EF3+ Rated Tornado Impacts the US
58%
NASDAQ hits an all time high
50%
Donald Trump mentions Obama's birth certificate
50%
Anthropic or Meta release a new model
50%
$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month
50%
spacex launches 15 or more rockets
50%
Volcano dormant for half a year erupts

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

  • Update 2025-07-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A playable demo will not be considered a release. To resolve an answer YES, it must be more than a demo and not an early access version.

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@strutheo
Does a playable demo being obtainable count as a release?

bought Ṁ20 NO

@ChristopherRandles for which?

@strutheo silksong
https://www.polygon.com/news/616781/hollow-knight-silksong-demo-xbox-gamescom
which might mean a release date of 20 Aug is known now so not in Aug.
While the release date might be in Aug?

But quite possibly it needs to be a full release and playable demo does not count.

@ChristopherRandles oh no i dont think thats a realease, just a demo. its not even early access

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