What will Trump do on Day 1 of being President?
➕
Plus
600
Ṁ210k
Feb 2
97%
Post on Twitter/X
95%
Sign at least five executive orders
95%
Sign at least two executive orders
93%
Sign ≥10 executive orders
89%
Give an inauguration speech that is received extremely negatively by mainstream media, as judged by Quillist
89%
Mispronounce a word or name
87%
Make a tweet/truth that includes at least two words in ALL CAPS (no acronyms)
83%
Have visible whiter areas on his face because he just can’t stop fake tanning
82%
Something based (I'm judge)
82%
Order flags to be flown at full-staff (returned to normal)
77%
Appear publicly with Elon Musk
75%
Pardon at least one person
73%
Pardon at least 1 J6 participant
63%
Grift and Lie
60%
Pray
60%
Criticize Joe Biden by name
59%
Shake Kamala Harris's hand
57%
Walk the parade route for at least 50 steps
56%
Take the oath of office before the term begins by law (Before Noon)
53%
Reinstate Mexico City policy

  • Update 2025-16-01 (PST): • Day One is defined as 24 hours after being sworn in as President. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - If an action occurs prior to Trump taking office that makes it impossible to resolve yes, the market will resolve as N/A. (AI summary of creator comment)

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bought Ṁ10 NO

I don't believe he is going to take responsibility for the Hamas deal, because the deal looks like it's falling apart, so why would he do that?

bought Ṁ2 NO

@SteveSokolowski that would entail admitting he didn't have a huge crowd

bought Ṁ5 NO

@JussiVilleHeiskanen A bigger issue is the record cold. At 25 degrees colder and probably 40 degrees colder in wind chill, it's unlikely he could draw the same number of people even though he is considerably more popular now.

@SteveSokolowski What is Quillist?

@TiredCliche It's the username of the creator.

@jks Does Musk have to appear on stage? Or would Musk being, say, in the front row at the inauguration count

bought Ṁ1 YES

@michaelwardEnLS I want to believe

Does summoning something count as prayer?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen like summoning a demon you mean?

filled a Ṁ814 NO at 2% order

I petition for "Pray" to resolve YES if Lovecraftian gods descend upon earth on January 20th.

@Quroe Paavo Väyrynen, a finnish politician has a special relationship in popular culthure (inadvertent spello I will let ride) with the great ancients as the lovecraftian gods are termed in finnish.

Does commuting his sentence count as a pardon?

For context

https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/

  1. Risks from artificial intelligence

  2. Catastrophic pandemics

  3. Nuclear weapons

  4. Great power conflict

  5. Factory farming

  6. Global priorities research

  7. Building effective altruism

  8. Improving decision making (especially in important institutions)

He doesn't have to say the exact words e.g. "we got so many nukes you wouldn't believe" would count for nuclear weapons

Improving decision making (especially in important institutions)

@TheAllMemeingEye Would "we'll drain the swamp in DC" count?

@skibidist hmm, might be a bit too removed on its own, would probably need to be more like "I promise America I will fix the government, I'll end corruption, drain the swamp, it'll be great" or something like that

bought Ṁ50 YES

@TheAllMemeingEye thanks for reminding me to do my annual watch of Trump's powerful exposition on nuclear proliferation:

bought Ṁ1 YES

Anyone know why this is so low? I'd have thought that's something trump would really like to do

@TheAllMemeingEye he wont have a chance... Smith already resigned

@hidetzugu oh, right, thanks

@TimothyBandors how would you describe your political views?

@TheAllMemeingEye

I usually end up around here on the compass test. I'll be a fair judge and only resolve yes if he does something that makes me think "based" when I read about it.

@Krantz We're strictly talking about the extraterrestrial variety, correct? Not the context of immigration? If I bet, I don't want to get genie loopholed.

@Quroe yes

bought Ṁ15 NO

@Quroe This would have been very funny if you didn't request clarification

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