Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?
Basic
26
Ṁ11112028
92%
Gavin Newsom
81%
Gretchen Whitmer
81%
JD Vance
80%
JB Pritzker
78%
Pete Buttigieg
75%
Josh Shapiro
74%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
71%
Kamala Harris
57%
Tulsi Gabbard
46%
Bernie Sanders
39%
Ron DeSantis
38%
Tim Walz
22%
Stephen A. Smith
10%
Mark Cuban
9%
Mark Milley
8%
Al Gore
2%
Barack Obama
Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy. (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)
All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed. Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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