How old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Plus
31
Ṁ26272028
98.6%
Over 35
89%
Over 40
89%
Over 45
79%
Over 50
74%
Over 55
65%
Over 60
33%
Over 65
14%
Over 70
9%
Over 75
6%
Over 80
1.9%
Over 85
Age will be determined by their age on election day, 2028.
Any amount of time once they've reached the age will mean they've over that age; that is to say, someone does not have to turn 41 for the "Over 40" option to resolve YES, so long as they have turned 40 by election day.
This market will resolve once the nominee is chosen by the party at the National Convention.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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